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2019

Ask Cadence: Why consider using in-service distributions to move money out of a 401(k), 403(b), or other employer-sponsored retirement plan?

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Employer-provided retirement plans have some tremendous advantages over other investment accounts.  They are convenient, allow for relatively large contributions, and usually receive employer-provided matching contributions.  Unfortunately, they also have some large disadvantages, some of which matter more today than they have since the last major market crash, like a serious lack of diversification options.  If the next major financial crash is like the last one, where both stocks and bonds lose meaningful value, then there is nowhere to hide in a 401(k) or 403(b) plan that does not have alternative investment options.  Likewise, seemingly diversified options like retirement date or…

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Market Update

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As a follow-up to an article in our last monthly newsletter, “Zombie Bull Disease”, we mentioned that the next few weeks would be important in learning whether or not the Federal Reserve’s “all in” monetary policy intervention would be enough to save the economy and markets from the downward part of the cycle. What we’ve learned in the three weeks since writing the piece is that although stock markets have marched higher in true zombie fashion, completely unfazed by any news that would typically cause at least temporary volatility in prices, things are not normal by any stretch. We continue…

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Ask Cadence: With the federal estate tax exemption amount so high, should I still do estate planning to avoid taxes?

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The history of estate taxes in the United States is convoluted, and that is an understatement.  There is little point in reviewing all the various changes federal estate taxes have gone through over the decades aside from pointing out the taxes that used to be imposed on estates large enough to be taxed were so high that avoiding federal estate taxes was the main reason many people did estate planning.  Paying 40% or more to the federal government made paying any state-imposed estate taxes at their much lower rates seem like small potatoes.  The objective, then, was to reduce federal…

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Ask Cadence: Is there any truth to the talk of a “looming pension crisis”?

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Simply put – yes. Most pensions are still calculating their benefits assuming a 7%+ long-term rate of growth. Looking back at the last 30 years of market returns, that doesn’t seem so far-fetched, but unfortunately a pension fund’s ability to deliver on promised benefits is all about what it will in fact earn going forward over the next 10, 20, and 30 years. Here are the hard facts about current and likely future returns: Interest rates on bonds and credit investments are near or at historic lows. The highest quality government bonds pay under 2% and highly-rated corporate bonds don’t…

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Ask Cadence: What is a 529 ABLE Plan?

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A 529 ABLE account (or 529 A Savings Plan) was created by the Achieving a Better Life Experience (ABLE) Act of 2014 to provide Americans with disabilities the opportunity to save up to $15,000 (2019 limit) per year in a tax-deferred account similar to a 529 college savings plan to supplement their government benefits. Contributions may be made by any person using post-tax dollars. If the beneficiary works, the beneficiary can also contribute part or all of their income to their ABLE account up to the poverty-line amount for a one-person household (which was $12,490 for 2019) unless their employer…

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Cycles Matter

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One of the most dangerous delusions being pumped and disseminated by Wall Street today is that the economy and stock market can and should continue to thrive indefinitely without interruption. Wall Street is notoriously perma-bullish based on its business model being dependent on steady investment inflows, so for those paying attention, it’s no surprise why its foot soldiers don’t express opinions through the financial media or otherwise that are counter to this perpetually rosy view. More recently, and it’s been increasing in intensity over the last couple decades at least, the Federal Reserve has taken it upon themselves to attempt…

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Precious Metals Have Something to Say

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As we’ve discussed with clients for a couple years now, the outlook for precious metals has been steadily improving. From a price or relative value standpoint, they’ve seldom been cheaper relative to financial assets and as we’ve stressed, long-term investment performance is all about the price we pay for something. From a fundamental standpoint, the potential for precious metals to provide investors, governments, and the global populace in general with peace of mind and a reasonably stable store of value has probably never been better. Here’s why, as we touched on above: Central banks are ten years into an economic…

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Retirement Uncertainties: Why Financial Planning is Necessary > Issue 6 > The Investment Elephant in the Retirement Room

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You may have to account for at least one, but probably more of the preceding issues before and during your own retirement.  However, the biggest threat that we can think of is also the one that gets almost no attention in the “biggest threats facing retirees” research we conducted, and it illustrates the need for people to work with a professional more than any of the items mentioned in the preceding paragraphs. With the U.S. stock market currently enjoying its longest and largest bull market in history, the potential for large investment losses is very high.   The last two major…

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U.S. Stocks – How Risky is This Party?

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The month of July has seen the broad U.S. stock indexes such as the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq achieve new highs – which of course is a good thing for those with meaningful exposure to them. On the surface it appears that the party is still in full swing. We don’t have to go back very far however for a reminder of how quickly things can go bad and how uncomfortable it can be when losses start to pile up quickly. The fourth quarter of last year saw stocks sink almost 20% while May of this…

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Retirement Uncertainties: Why Financial Planning is Necessary > Issue 5 > How Much Home Equity Can Be Unlocked?

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For many years now, home-owning Americans had more equity in their homes than they did in their retirement accounts.  In order to afford their retirements, they would have to find a way to unlock that equity, either by selling their homes and renting or moving in with family, or by downsizing to a cheaper home and netting the difference in the sale and purchase prices.  Even for home-owning Americans with healthy retirement accounts, unlocking home equity by downsizing is a common strategy to increase retirement assets.  Unfortunately, with so many baby boomers selling bigger and buying smaller at the same…

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