Since the US stock market bottomed after the Financial Crisis in March of 2009, large cap US stocks have returned around 15% per year. The vast majority of other investment categories have not enjoyed nearly the returns of the US stock market, however as that is the investing area that receives the most media attention, its behavior over the past ten years has shaped a lot of our expectations for what will happen going forward. Our brains have a tendency to assume the conditions to which we have grown accustomed will keep going, a tendency which has been labeled “recency…
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