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Market Risk

Market Topping Conditions

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One of the data points we follow to help us gain insight into the current condition of the stock market is called the Hindenburg Omen count. Originally created by James Miekka, its primary criteria is for at least 2.2% of stocks trading in the stock market to be both making new highs and new lows on the same days. Those days are tallied and looked at cumulatively to identify periods of divergence within a particular stock market index. The idea is that when you get disagreement within the stock market, it could mark a potential turning point. Below, is our…

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A Bendy Road

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The experience one expects to have in financial markets comes down largely to whether he or she believes market forces are more natural or artificial in nature. By natural, I’m referring to more free-flowing, random, and at times chaotic, whereas artificial represents controlled, planned, and efficient. An investor couldn’t be blamed for thinking the latter given the tremendous efforts monetary authorities and governments generally have made in recent years to steer favorable market outcomes. This effort to control markets, to create a straighter path, has led many to believe that positive investment results are assured and risks of meaningful losses…

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