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Diversification

Risk Hides in Complacency

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We humans aren’t great at evaluating risk.  Take the person who habitually texts while driving.  We all know that’s a risk, but we have a way of rationalizing behavior like that.  Texting on a country road doesn’t carry the risk of texting in front of a school, and texting while driving alone doesn’t carry the risk of texting with children in the car, for example.  Our brains find ways to give us permission, and I’m sure the person texting with kids in the car WHILE driving through a school zone also finds a way to give themselves the permission to…
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How Should I Know If My Diversified Portfolio Returns Are Good Enough?

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It’s not easy for a diversified investor to know what their investments should be returning over most time frames. Just because the S&P 500 is up 15% this year, should you be too?  The S&P 500 plus dividends was up 40% over the past twelve months, but since you have a diversified portfolio, what is a normal return for you over the same period?  For any short-term period, like a year, how do we know if we’re still on track, or if our returns show something has gone wrong? Given the amount of media coverage large cap US stocks receive…
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Don Those Earmuffs!

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"Americans can always be trusted to do the right thing once all other possibilities have been exhausted.” – Quote often ascribed to Winston Churchill If there’s one thing most can feel good about these days, it’s the fact that the process of trying “all other possibilities” to keep corporations and the economy afloat is in full swing, which in turn probably means we’re that much closer to getting to a viable long-term solution that benefits most. As touched on in last month’s letter, the “right thing” will likely only come after all these other easier, less painful possibilities have been…
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