Tag

Valuation

A Year for the Non-Conformists

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“Twice two times four is not life. It is the beginning of death.” - Fyodor Dostoyevsky, Notes From The Underground Cadence was founded with the philosophy that cycles, valuations, and the sentiment of crowds matter far more than mainstream financial services and media would have you believe. Not necessarily at first, or even for most of the time, but eventually with rather abrupt suddenness, they matter supremely. It’s not lost on our clients that we are still in the midst of the biggest stock bull market in history as measured by time and gain – we’ve been guarding them from…
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Change Happens

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Change is a funny thing. It’s one of the only constants in life; something we can depend on. Whether we’re talking about the four seasons, aging, health, or quality of life, we can depend on change to shuffle things up on us before we have a chance to get too comfortable. The optimist would say “discomfort and stress lead to growth”, while the cynic might prefer to resist change or deny that it lies ahead. As humans, most of us are the latter. Recency bias has us believing the present can continue on at least until tomorrow, and when taken…
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Ask Cadence: If I haven’t participated in the stock market gains over the last couple of years, will my retirement be negatively affected as a result?

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Put simply – no, and here’s why. Think about it this way: Stocks at any point in time can be ranked on a scale of one to ten based on how expensive they are. The vast majority of the time, they’ll score somewhere between 3 and 7 where they’re neither cheap nor expensive. This is where one can have a traditional exposure to stocks based on the timeframe of their goals and risk tolerance. If stocks are scored below 3 and considered cheap, one might take a little more “risk” since over time prices stand a much better chance of…
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Warnings Can Take Time To Play Out

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For an activity that is supposedly best done using pure logic, investing can be incredibly emotional. There will inevitably be times that test one’s intestinal fortitude and to expect otherwise is envisioning a path that has never existed in financial markets. But to some extent, investors do get to choose which type of volatility they are willing to accept. Since the price we pay is the primary determinant of future returns (over longer periods of time), if we invest in something that is expensive relative to its historical norm, there’s a very good chance we’ll take losses eventually – in…
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